project details
The goal of the CLIMEWAR project is to evaluate the impact of climate changes on the future wave climate in the marine system defined by the Black and Mediterranean seas. A multi-model and multiple-scenario ensemble of the marine system wave climate projections over the last 60 years of the 21st Century will be generated based on the results of the SWAN (Simulating WAves Nearshore) model forced with Regional Climate Models (RCMs) driven by different boundary conditions, under RCPs and SSPs scenarios. The potential impact of climate change on the future sea state conditions is estimated by performing comparisons with the ensemble of the present wave climate (1976-2005). The present sea state conditions will be compared with observations and reliable hindcast data. The uncertainties associated with wave climate changes will be identified and quantified. Assuming that the statistical properties of the present climate biases are maintained in the future, bias correction methods will be applied to generate a bias-corrected ensemble of the wave climate projections. The future changes of the mean (annual, seasonal, and monthly) and extreme values of the main wave parameters in both basins will be evaluated, together with their variability and trends. Extreme value analysis will be performed in various key locations.
Objectives
The general objective of the CLIMEWAR project is to explore the future wave climate in the Mediterranean and Black seas using an ensemble of wave climate projections capable of sufficiently sampling the uncertainty associated with projected future wave climate and to evaluate the impact of climate changes on the sea state conditions by comparisons with the present wave climate.
Specific objectives are:
- O1: Generation of a multi-model and multiple-scenario ensemble of the marine system wave climate projections over the last 60 years of the 21st Century based on the results provided by SWAN model forced with at least three RCMs driven by different CGMs under three emission scenarios from CMIP5 and CMIP6.
- O2: Evaluation of the potential impact of climate change on the future sea state conditions by performing comparisons with the present wave climate obtained for 30-year time-slice covering the historical reference period 1976-2005.
- O3: Generation of a bias-corrected ensemble of the wave climate projections until the end of this century under each scenario.
- O4: Development of a totally new high-resolution data archive containing the gridded fields of the main wave parameters together with the wind speeds for the time slices considered (historical period 1976-2005 and future period 2041-2100) and wave power;
- O5: Estimation of the future changes of the mean and extreme values of the main wave parameters in both basins, together with their variability and medium-term changes;
- O6: Evaluation of the expected coastal dynamics under the impact of climate changes;
- O7: Estimation of the possible changes of the main wave parameters along the main maritime shipping routes;
- O8: Assessment of the evolution of the wave energy potential, providing useful information for the end-users regarding decision making and planning of resource exploration sites.
- O9: Development of a computational platform in MATLAB environment with numerical and graphical outputs for a quick assessment of the present and future wave climate (WAve Climate Assessment - WACA).
Results
At the end of CLIMEWAR project we aim to bring added value by providing a significant contribution to the state of the art in marine climate research represented by both seas in different ways:
- 1) Improve the quality of wave information available to be used in climate research, by a process of bias correction;
- 2) Understand how the wind and wave conditions have changed through time in the target areas, and also how they may change in the future and explore the relationship between these two climate variables;
- 3) Evaluate changes using an ensemble of wave climate projections;
- 4) Produce an ensemble model and evaluate the contribution of the different sources of uncertainty to the total uncertainty associated to the marine climate projections;
- 5) Evaluate the impact of climate change in the wave energy potential;
- 6) Investigate the variability and trends of the extreme wave parameters at different time scales.
short scientific report 2022
short scientific report 2023
Our Team
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project manager
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1. liliana celia rusu - university professor
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1. liliana celia rusu - university professor
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members
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2. Răzvan Mateescu - CS I - Scientific Researcher Grade I
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3. Eugen Victor Cristian Rusu - university professor
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4. Mariana Bernardino - CS - Scientific Researcher
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5. Daniel Ganea - Lecturer, Postdoctorate Researcher
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6. Alina Beatrice Răileanu - Postdoctorate Researcher
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7. Ana-Maria Chirosca - Researcher Assistant (doctorand)
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- 8. Magduta Chivu - Financial Responsible cv
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2. Răzvan Mateescu - CS I - Scientific Researcher Grade I
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our team is composed by:
Publications
2023
A. Publications in international journals
An evaluation of the synergy between the wave and wind energy along the west Iberian nearshore
Energy Conversion and Management, X, 20, p.100453, (WoS)
LinkAutonomous Shallow Water Hydrographic Survey Using a Proto-Type USV
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 11(4), pp.799, (WoS, Q1)
LinkExperimental and Numerical Investigation of the Added Resistance in Regular Head Waves for the DTC Hull
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 11(4), pp.852, (WoS, Q1)
LinkCFD Analysis and Wind Tunnel Experiment for Ventilation Ducts with Structural Elements Inside
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 11(2), pp.371, (WoS, Q1)
LinkAn Evaluation of the Wind Energy along the Romanian Black Sea Coast
Inventions, 8(1), pp.48, (WoS)
LinkB. Presentations at international conferences or workshops
An analysis of the environmental matrix in the Adriatic Sea – past and future projections
The 18th Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems – SDEWES, held in hybrid mode from September 24 – 29, 2023 in Dubrovnik, Croatia
LinkThe Expected Wind Power Dynamics in The Mediterranean Sea Considering Different Climate Change Scenarios
The 18th Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems – SDEWES, held in hybrid mode from September 24 – 29, 2023 in Dubrovnik, Croatia
LinkThe Dynamics ff Offshore Renewable Energy in the European Nearshore in the Context of the Climate Change
Modern approaches of the environment-climate change interconnectivity, 2-nd edition, September 20-23rd, 2023, Galati, Romania
LinkThe support of the CMEMS’ Downstream operational services for the water quality monitoring-modeling-management in western Black Sea coastal areas
The 13th International Workshop on Modeling the Ocean 2023, Hamburg, Germany, 27-30 June 2023
LinkAssessment of the climate change effects on the wave energy resources in the Mediterranean Sea
WECANet Final Assembly, European Cost Action 17105, Ghent, Belgium, 6-7 March 2023
LinkWind Climate Analysis at the Future Wind Farm Positions in the Mediterranean Sea
8th International Conference on Advances on Clean Energy Research (ICACER 2023), 28-30 April 2023, Barcelona, Spain, published in Springer Book Series-Green Energy and Technology
LinkAn evaluation of the future expected wind and wave power in the Black Sea
11th European Conference on Renewable Energy Systems (ECRES 2023), Riga, Latvia, 18-20 May 2023
LinkAssessing Marine Renewable Energy under Climate Change Conditions
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering Webinar | Marine Renewable Energy and the Transition to a Low Carbon Future, 13 June 2023
LinkProjections of the climate change impact on the sea state conditions of the Black Sea
9th International conference on Time Series and Forecasting – ITISE2023, 12-14 July 2023, Gran Canaria, Spain
LinkAn evaluation of the past and future expected wind climate in the Mediterranean and the Black Seas
9th International conference on Time Series and Forecasting – ITISE2023, 12-14 July 2023, Gran Canaria, Spain
LinkModeling-based results for waves propagations in the case of climate change adaptation measures assortment with specific reference to the Maritime Port of Constanta
2nd International Scientific Conference on Design and Management of Port, Coastal and Offshore Works - DMPCO2023, 24-27 May 2023, Thessaloniki, Greece
LinkCoastal waves gauge stations network extension in the Romanian transitional shore unit. Its support for a sustainable beach sediments and aquaculture experimental farms management
30-th edition Deltas & Wetlands International Symposium, 05 – 09 June, Tulcea, Romania, 2023
LinkC. C. Works presented in romanian national scientific events with international participation
An evaluation of the expected wind climate in the European coastal environment
Invited presentation at the 11th edition of the Scientific Conference organized by the Doctoral Schools of Dunarea de Jos University of Galati (SCDS-UDJG), 8-9 June 2023, Galati, Romania
LinkOffshore hydrographic and oceanographic monitoring using ocean drones
Invited presentation at the 11th edition of the Scientific Conference organized by the Doctoral Schools of Dunarea de Jos University of Galati (SCDS-UDJG), 8-9 June 2023, Galati, Romania
Link2022
A. Publications in international journals
A MATLAB toolbox for analysis of the environmental matrix in open seas and coastal areas
Journal of Engineering Sciences and Innovation, 7(3), pp.349-362
LinkImproving the Ventilation of Machinery Spaces with Direct Adiabatic Cooling System
Inventions, 7(3), p.78. (WoS)
LinkMaritime accidents impact on marine environment. A case study of the Romanian coast of the Black Sea
Journal of Marine Technology and Environment, 2, pp. 34-42.
LinkOceanographic environmental assessment using underwater gliders
Journal of Marine Technology and Environment, 2, pp. 12-15
LinkInvestigations on the marine current regime in the maritime port of Constanta and its adjacent areas
Scientific Buletin of Naval Academy, Constanţa, Romania, Volume XXV, Issue 1, pp. 128-135
LinkB. Presentations at international conferences or workshops (8)
Expected Dynamics of the Wave Power in the European Coastal Environment in the Context of Climate Change
Invited presentation JMSE (Q1 journal), Webinar - Offshore Renewables for a Transition to a Low Carbon Society, 18 October 2022, online
LinkAssessing Offshore Wind Energy in the European Coastal Environment
Invited presentation JMSE (Q1 journal), Webinar - Offshore Renewables for a Transition to a Low Carbon Society, 18 Octombrie 2022, online
LinkStudy of the expected wind dynamics along the European coasts of the Mediterranean Sea in the context of the climate change
Presented online at the 4th Euro-Mediterranean Conference for Environmental Integration (EMCEI), 1-4 November 2022, Sousse, Tunisia
Study of climate changes and their impact on maritime transport in the Black Sea area
XXIInd International Multidisciplinary Scientific GeoConference Surveying, Geology and Mining, Ecology and Management – SGEM 2022, Albena, Bulgaria, 2-11 July 2022
Marine renewable energy and the green road towards a low carbon future
Invited presentation, Marine Energy Technologies - MET Conference, Webinar, 12 October 2022
LinkHydrodynamic modeling of the wave’s conditions in the new extensions of the Constanta south – Agigea port basin
Poster presentation 1st International Joint Conference MARBLUE 2022, 26 –28 October, Constanta, Romania
LinkExtreme waves conditions at the entrance of Constanta port
Poster presentation 1st International Joint Conference MARBLUE 2022, 26 –28 October, Constanta, Romania
LinkDynamics of the marine renewable energy resources in the context of the climate change, invited speaker – workshop
Modern feedback approaches between environment processes and climate changes”, July 6-9th, 2022, Galați, Romania
LinkClimate change effects and the EU targets in terms of marine renewable energy, - keynote speaker
2nd International Conference on Advanced Research in Engineering, CARE 2022, 28 October 2022, Craiova Romania.
LinkWorkshop
Offshore Renewables for a Transition to a Low Carbon Society - 18 October 2022
- (10:00 - 10:10)Chair Professor Liliana Rusu - Chair Introduction
- (10:10 - 10:30)Chair Professor Liliana Rusu - Expected Dynamics of the Wave Power in the European Coastal Environment in the Context of Climate Change
- (10:30 - 10:50 am)Professor Peter Troch - Experimental Modelling for Coastal Engineering and Marine Renewables
- (10:50 - 11:10 am)Dr. Vicky Stratigaki - Numerical Modelling Techniques for Marine Renewables
- (11:10 - 11:30 am)Dr. Mariana Bernardino - Assessing Offshore Wind Energy in the European Coastal Environment
- (11:30 - 11:50 am)Q&A
- (11:50 am - 12:00 pm)Chair Professor Liliana Rusu - Closing of Webinar
Program
